Oekraine

❓How can Russia justify the retreat from Kherson after referendums? According to Russian laws, Kherson is in Russia.
🔷Russian Ministry of Defense justifies it with its desire to avoid inevitable losses if it tried to hold the city. However, this point is what worries a lot of Russians, especially Russians in new territories. In fact, Russia did concede a Russian city without even trying to hold it. If it was formally Ukrainian, it would be much less of a problem.
There are many versions of possible reasons for that decision, there are many rumors in the air.

🔷However, it’s anyway a big PR loss and a big hit on government ratings. Referendum did changed things and the order for retreat does undermine the results of this referendum. Moreover, the very objective of running the referendum so early was to assure the people of new regions that Russia will defend them. Yes, civilians were evacuated from Kherson, but this still doesn’t look good considering the above objective.

🔷Nevertheless, there is no reason for Russians to panic or accuse the government of deliberate concessions. The decision was well thought and we’ll eventually see that it was wise. If we put PR aside, it makes perfect sense from military point of view. Russia stabilizes the front and stops Ukrainian offensive freeing its own forces to be used in other areas. Russia is still winning the war of attrition and still has good chances to see Ukrainian capitulation without taking heavy losses in manpower. 🔷Saving lives of Russian soldiers is indeed a good purpose and a good reason for retreat. Slowly advancing Ukrainian forces greatly outnumbered Russian defenders in Kherson and their artillery was able to hit Russian supply routes. It wasn’t worth sacrificing soldiers for a city that couldn’t be held risking total cut-off and destruction of the entire defending force. Russia is not Ukraine and is not abandoning its fighters to die. 🔷Unfortunately, retreat inevitably means that any people who refused evacuation from Kherson are likely to become victims of war crimes by Ukrainian nationalists. We can expect more mass murders and attempts to frame Russia in further attempts to promote the cause of Kiev regime.
For now, Russians just have to wait a little more. New troops will arrive to the front, forces from Kherson will regroup to other areas and inevitable Russian counteroffensive will follow. Meanwhile, continued missile strikes will disrupt Ukrainian supplies and their ability to move troops, while their sponsors will come back in another month demanding for more success.

🔷This is not over. Kiev government will not negotiate a ceasefire or truce and treaty unless pushed by the U.S., but the U.S. seems to be fine with the way things are going and will literally fight Russia to the last Ukrainian. Only physical destruction of Ukrainian ability to fight will bring some decisive results and may force the other side to talk. 🔷So yes, it was a hard decision and undeniable loss of face for Russia. However, Russians don’t say farewell to Kherson, they just say “See you later”


Mike
 
Zie bovenstaand. De terugtrekking uit Kherson is om de levens van Russische soldaten te sparen. Wel triest voor de burgers die zijn achtergebleven na de evacuatie, want er zal weer volop gemoord en gemarteld worden door de Oekraiense strijdkrachten.

Mike
 
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