There is no way that Israeli intel (Shin Bet/Mossad, etc), one of the best intelligence forces in the world, especially on the 50th anniversary of the suprise Egyptian/Syrian attack upon Israel known as the Yom Kippur War, didn't know this was coming. Gaza/Hamas is under constant surveillance and Israeli double agents are everywhere. How could they miss hundreds of fighters, vehicles and thousands of rockets? I do not believe this at all.
This is what we may call low hanging fruit.
Important Questions-
Why was the Israeli response to the initial attack/infiltration so muted?
How were Hamas operatives able to freely operate throughout Southern Israel with ease?
Where was the Israeli military/advanced tech when Hamas was infiltrating Israel's border fence?
Why is it that Palestinian rockets that weren't effective before are actually causing damage this time around?
Israel's version of a mass casualty event like Pearl Harbour = false flag/manufactured crisis to spring forth a manufactured solution-
There has been an est. 600+ Israeli deaths & 2,000+ injured Israelis making this the largest/deadliest single attack upon Israel by Palestine outside of a war. In less than a day they suffered more casualties than they did in full fledged wars with Gaza.
I believe that the Oct 2023 "suprise" attack achieves the following-
More money for the military industrial complex.
More power under the declaration of war/a nationwide emergency for the Israeli gov/military/police/intel.
A perfect excuse to shutdown protests that have been raging for 9+ months.
National unity in Israel which is deeply divided due to judicial reform. Reservists won't rebel, the Israeli gov coalition won't splinter or it can be reorganized more favourably, etc. Israel's opposition leader, Yair Lapid, actually proposed an emergency unity government. Netanyahu invites this and Gantz is involved as well.
A perfect excuse to launch the biggest, multi week/month war/regime change op upon Gaza ever. They may try to take control of the Gaza Strip & overthrow the Hamas led gov there. My prediction is that there will be a massive air and ground invasion possibly resulting in 10k or more Palestinian injuries/deaths. I would say that this would be Israel's best excuse to get as close to wiping out Hamas as possible but the military industrial complex wants the threat of Hamas hanging around to ensure perpetual profit as do the Israelis for perpetual "aid" but I guess they still have Hezbollah, Iran, Syria, etc
I wonder if Netanyahu will sneak in the judicial reform since this war is the perfect distraction.
Recently, Netanyahu showed a map of the 'New Middle East' without Palestine at the UN General Assembly (He likes his maps). Perhaps this can be the perfect excuse to make it a reality.
To deflect from Israeli crimes/aggression against the Palestinians, get widespread support from the international community & paint Palestinians as villainous terrorists.
To stop funding for the Palestinians/Gaza from Qatar, the EU, etc
Perhaps they'll blame Iran and use this to escalate tensions/attack Iran. This would of course result in a huge, multinational war potentially dragging in the US/NATO, Lebanon, Iraq, Yemen, Syria, etc
Other things to consider-
Let's not forget that it was Israel that created Hamas in the 1st place to divide/conquer the Palestinians.
This could slow down the Israeli-Saudi normalization process.
It may result in a third intifada in the West Bank.
The longer and bloodier an Israeli response to Hamas is in not only Gaza but also the West Bank, the more likley chance of attacks against Israeli interests globally and within Israel itself.
If Israel is successful in degrading Hamas governmentally and militarily aka oust Hamas from Gaza at least in terms of the control they have over the enclave, we can see a protracted war/insurgency.
Would enemies of Netanyahu within Israel try to use the so called intel failure to oust Netanyahu?
It is also worth noting that the judicial proceedings in Israel were just starting to take place regarding the hearing of cases associated with the judicial reform when these attacks unfolded so that's very interesting.
Also, this would just be the latest war/chapter of the story of perpetual war especially at a time of waning press coverage of the Ukraine war.
Mike
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